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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+4.81vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.45+4.33vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.67+6.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.25+6.45vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.07+2.51vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy0.27+7.71vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59+2.29vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-3.82vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+4.73vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.70-4.40vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32-0.66vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-3.36vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.54-9.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44-3.96vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.00-7.10vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.26-2.39vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.39-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.33Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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9.07Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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10.45Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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13.71Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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13.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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5.6Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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3.56Harvard University3.540.2%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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7.9Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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13.61Maine Maritime Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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13.23University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Luke Healy | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 24.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 18.1% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 23.9% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Jack Flores | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 22.4% | 17.7% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sean Caulfield | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 22.7% |
| James Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.