Race 13B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Trevor Davis 9.4% 11.1% 11.1% 10.6% 10.1% 11.1% 7.9% 7.4% 6.8% 5.2% 5.1% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Lachlain McGranahan 25.9% 19.0% 14.3% 12.2% 10.1% 7.3% 5.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 4.0% 3.1% 5.1% 4.7% 5.6% 7.4% 6.0% 8.1% 9.6% 9.4% 10.3% 8.8% 7.4% 5.6% 3.7% 1.2%
Taylor Eastman 4.1% 6.6% 6.6% 7.1% 6.8% 7.7% 8.8% 8.7% 9.9% 8.5% 8.1% 6.0% 6.6% 2.4% 1.6% 0.5%
Kerem Erkmen 17.9% 16.2% 14.8% 12.1% 10.4% 8.0% 8.6% 5.3% 3.4% 1.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter McGonagle 3.4% 2.3% 4.0% 5.6% 5.4% 7.3% 6.9% 6.7% 9.1% 9.1% 9.4% 7.8% 7.9% 7.4% 5.2% 2.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.2% 3.1% 3.8% 3.2% 4.3% 4.3% 3.9% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 9.0% 11.5% 12.4% 10.6% 8.9% 3.3%
Jack Derry 2.4% 4.0% 3.8% 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.9% 6.5% 6.5% 9.9% 8.3% 10.8% 10.1% 8.0% 5.9% 2.1%
Elizabeth Kaplan 10.4% 11.3% 11.1% 10.5% 11.8% 9.5% 8.7% 7.4% 5.5% 6.0% 3.2% 1.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam Bonauto 7.7% 7.3% 8.4% 10.2% 9.5% 10.3% 10.3% 10.6% 7.1% 6.9% 5.0% 2.6% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Flores 4.7% 5.3% 4.7% 5.2% 6.9% 5.9% 6.8% 8.4% 8.9% 8.4% 9.5% 10.4% 6.6% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0%
Gavin Sanborn 1.3% 1.2% 2.8% 2.7% 2.0% 3.4% 3.6% 5.0% 5.8% 6.9% 6.1% 10.5% 10.5% 13.5% 13.6% 11.1%
Adrian Winkelman 4.2% 6.1% 7.0% 8.0% 6.5% 8.0% 9.0% 8.3% 9.1% 8.8% 7.9% 6.8% 4.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Luke Healy 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 3.4% 4.4% 5.6% 6.6% 9.9% 13.6% 17.9% 26.4%
Sean Caulfield 0.9% 1.4% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 1.3% 1.7% 3.1% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 6.4% 8.3% 12.9% 19.9% 28.6%
James Sullivan 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 1.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 5.4% 7.3% 9.5% 15.2% 18.4% 23.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.