Race 4B

old-guard-owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Russom 5.2% 3.6% 5.9% 8.0% 6.4% 8.1% 7.8% 9.3% 9.4% 10.2% 11.4% 11.4% 3.2% 0.1%
Lukas Edegran 7.0% 7.4% 8.4% 7.1% 9.4% 7.6% 9.2% 10.0% 9.3% 9.9% 7.4% 5.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Emily Billing 8.7% 9.4% 10.6% 9.7% 8.5% 9.5% 8.6% 9.0% 8.8% 7.4% 6.0% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 4.5% 5.3% 5.9% 7.8% 7.5% 7.2% 8.8% 7.8% 9.3% 10.1% 12.2% 11.5% 2.0% 0.1%
Elizabeth Whipple 8.0% 9.4% 9.6% 10.9% 9.7% 9.8% 9.4% 8.4% 7.7% 7.4% 4.6% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Tedd Himler 26.0% 24.0% 16.1% 11.1% 8.9% 6.0% 3.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 9.0% 10.1% 10.3% 9.9% 9.0% 9.4% 8.9% 10.0% 7.0% 7.6% 5.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Brendan Hannon 6.3% 6.3% 6.8% 6.7% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 8.7% 9.4% 7.8% 10.9% 10.1% 1.8% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 5.4% 4.8% 5.5% 6.8% 8.9% 7.7% 9.1% 9.4% 10.0% 10.7% 10.8% 8.4% 2.4% 0.1%
Arthur Bailey IV 4.0% 2.9% 3.9% 4.6% 5.8% 7.0% 7.6% 7.3% 9.3% 10.3% 13.2% 19.0% 4.9% 0.2%
Ryan Pesch 11.0% 11.1% 12.2% 10.2% 10.6% 10.8% 8.7% 7.9% 6.4% 4.7% 3.5% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Eric Schwarm 4.2% 4.9% 3.9% 6.9% 6.7% 7.8% 8.8% 7.9% 10.3% 10.6% 10.0% 13.4% 4.2% 0.4%
Anthony Pappenfus 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.9% 2.1% 3.7% 6.1% 66.2% 14.5%
Patrick Bowers 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 1.6% 11.8% 84.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.