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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.58+0.86vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.21+1.30vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-0.44+0.55vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.52-0.16vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.85+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.67-2.08vs Predicted
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7American University-3.08-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Hampton University0.5848.0%1st Place
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3.3William and Mary-0.2114.8%1st Place
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3.55Virginia Tech-0.4412.4%1st Place
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3.84Christopher Newport University-0.5210.7%1st Place
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5.05Catholic University of America-1.854.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Maryland-0.679.2%1st Place
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6.48American University-3.080.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brown | 48.0% | 29.4% | 13.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 14.8% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 8.4% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 12.4% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Noah Hubbard | 10.7% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 2.3% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 37.5% | 15.5% |
| Charlie Bullock | 9.2% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 21.6% | 21.9% | 14.8% | 3.5% |
| Ella Lane | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 11.4% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.