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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+3.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.31+4.60vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.16+8.15vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.17+6.66vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.33+1.33vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+3.77vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.81vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.14+2.84vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.29-2.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-1.99vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.77-2.42vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.52-2.23vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.83-4.88vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.77-2.04vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.95-3.41vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.98-8.31vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.46-3.66vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-3.01-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.6Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.15Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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6.33Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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9.77Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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10.84Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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8.58Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.77Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.12Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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11.96Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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11.59Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Vermont0.460.0%1st Place
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17.73Middlebury College-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.6% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 0.6% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 0.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 0.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Buelt | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 1.4% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 0.4% |
| Chloe Holder | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Yale | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 28.3% | 2.5% |
| Kathryn Elliott-Grunes | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 93.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.