Race 5B

old-guard-owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Russom 4.7% 3.5% 7.7% 7.2% 6.3% 7.4% 8.8% 8.6% 10.2% 10.7% 10.7% 10.9% 3.2% 0.1%
Tedd Himler 29.5% 24.2% 14.9% 12.6% 7.5% 4.6% 2.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Liberty 7.4% 10.2% 10.1% 8.8% 8.7% 8.7% 10.6% 8.3% 8.7% 8.3% 4.8% 4.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Eric Schwarm 3.9% 4.8% 6.4% 5.1% 7.2% 6.1% 8.2% 9.2% 10.4% 10.4% 11.1% 14.1% 2.9% 0.2%
Emily Billing 7.7% 9.2% 9.2% 11.0% 9.9% 8.6% 9.4% 9.1% 7.0% 8.2% 6.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Brendan Hannon 5.4% 5.4% 5.8% 6.9% 8.3% 8.9% 8.2% 10.3% 8.3% 11.1% 10.0% 8.4% 2.9% 0.1%
Elizabeth Whipple 9.6% 11.4% 9.6% 11.2% 8.8% 9.3% 10.0% 9.4% 7.5% 5.3% 5.0% 2.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Conor Lodge 5.9% 5.9% 7.4% 6.2% 7.1% 10.1% 8.0% 7.0% 9.8% 9.7% 10.8% 9.2% 2.9% 0.0%
Ryan Pesch 9.6% 12.0% 11.9% 10.0% 11.5% 12.3% 8.0% 8.9% 6.1% 4.1% 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 6.0% 5.6% 6.8% 8.9% 9.8% 7.7% 8.6% 9.6% 10.1% 9.2% 10.2% 6.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Arthur Bailey IV 4.3% 3.0% 4.3% 4.2% 6.4% 6.7% 7.3% 7.2% 9.3% 10.9% 13.3% 18.2% 4.7% 0.2%
T. Max Bulger 5.1% 4.1% 5.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.9% 8.7% 8.2% 10.2% 9.2% 11.0% 10.5% 2.9% 0.4%
Anthony Pappenfus 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 3.0% 7.3% 65.9% 14.3%
Patrick Bowers 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 11.9% 84.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.