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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95+6.99vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.52+7.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.56vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.31+2.43vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.14+5.85vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.16+4.98vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.77+5.25vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.77+0.44vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.33-2.65vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-3.88vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.46+2.34vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.17-0.81vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.95-1.53vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-6.35vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.83-6.78vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.44-6.10vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.98-9.23vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-3.01-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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4.56Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.43Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.98Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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12.25Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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8.44Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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6.12Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Vermont0.460.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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11.47Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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17.73Middlebury College-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Buelt | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 16.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 0.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 0.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 1.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Yale | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 28.8% | 2.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 0.9% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Elliott-Grunes | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 93.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.