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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.33+5.62vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.95+9.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.77+5.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.47vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.14+5.77vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.52+3.51vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.16+3.83vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-2.10vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-1.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.83-1.54vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.98-3.18vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.77+0.55vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.17-2.29vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.95-6.43vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.31-8.58vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.44-6.19vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.46-3.64vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-3.01-0.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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11.9Roger Williams University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.74Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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4.47Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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10.77Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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9.51Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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10.83Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.9Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.46Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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12.55Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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10.71University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.950.1%1st Place
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6.42Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.81Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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13.36University of Vermont0.460.0%1st Place
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17.73Middlebury College-3.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caylin Schnoor | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 0.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.7% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 0.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Chloe Holder | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 18.1% | 1.7% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
| Annie Buelt | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Sandra Yale | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 27.4% | 2.2% |
| Kathryn Elliott-Grunes | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 93.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.