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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel1.11+1.05vs Predicted
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2University of Tennessee-0.03+1.47vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.58+1.35vs Predicted
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4Vanderbilt University0.30-0.95vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.31-2.03vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.77-1.06vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05The Citadel1.110.4%1st Place
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3.47University of Tennessee-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.35Clemson University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.05Vanderbilt University0.300.2%1st Place
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3.97Georgia Institute of Technology-0.310.1%1st Place
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5.94North Carolina State University-1.770.0%1st Place
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5.16Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Walters | 44.6% | 25.7% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Reisinger | 12.4% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 3.3% |
| Samantha Bialek | 7.9% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 18.6% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 10.2% |
| Christopher Hoogenboom | 19.9% | 21.1% | 22.6% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Kyle Meyhoefer | 8.4% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
| Sarah Bailey | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 20.4% | 52.6% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 30.0% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.