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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+1.41vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.58+0.01vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland-0.67+1.14vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.21-0.48vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.52-0.85vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.85-0.78vs Predicted
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7American University-3.08-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Virginia Tech0.6728.7%1st Place
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2.01Hampton University0.5840.6%1st Place
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4.14University of Maryland-0.676.8%1st Place
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3.52William and Mary-0.2112.0%1st Place
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4.15Christopher Newport University-0.528.5%1st Place
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5.22Catholic University of America-1.852.7%1st Place
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6.55American University-3.080.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 28.7% | 29.2% | 22.6% | 12.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 40.6% | 32.0% | 16.3% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Bullock | 6.8% | 9.4% | 16.3% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 18.4% | 2.8% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 12.0% | 14.2% | 23.3% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| Noah Hubbard | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 21.8% | 24.3% | 19.1% | 3.4% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 40.9% | 14.9% |
| Ella Lane | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.