← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.91+2.64vs Predicted
-
2Florida State University1.97+1.66vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami2.66-0.54vs Predicted
-
4University of Florida1.38+0.50vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University1.24-0.25vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.37+0.41vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University1.24-2.25vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.21vs Predicted
-
9Embry-Riddle University-0.66-1.04vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida0.73-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.64University of South Florida1.910.2%1st Place
-
3.66Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
-
2.46University of Miami2.660.4%1st Place
-
4.5University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
-
4.75Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
-
6.41Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
4.75Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
-
5.79Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
-
7.96Embry-Riddle University-0.660.0%1st Place
-
5.85University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 17.1% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 14.0% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 35.4% | 24.2% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 8.1% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 25.5% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 8.1% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Brian Herbster | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 61.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.