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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.91+2.08vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.24+2.21vs Predicted
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3University of Florida1.38+0.95vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.37+1.63vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.73+0.07vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.24-1.79vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.05vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.66-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-6.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08University of South Florida1.910.2%1st Place
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4.21Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Florida1.380.1%1st Place
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5.63Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.07University of South Florida0.730.0%1st Place
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4.21Jacksonville University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.95Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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7.01Embry-Riddle University-0.660.0%1st Place
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2.1University of Miami2.660.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 19.2% | 23.9% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.4% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Snyder | 11.6% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 25.9% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 4.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Brent Penwarden | 10.4% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.8% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Herbster | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 60.8% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 42.0% | 29.1% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.