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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.67+1.41vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.21+1.52vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.52+1.21vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.58-1.96vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.67-0.92vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-1.85-0.86vs Predicted
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7American University-3.08-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Virginia Tech0.6727.9%1st Place
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3.52William and Mary-0.2112.4%1st Place
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4.21Christopher Newport University-0.526.2%1st Place
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2.04Hampton University0.5841.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Maryland-0.677.8%1st Place
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5.14Catholic University of America-1.853.6%1st Place
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6.6American University-3.080.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Lilyquist | 27.9% | 30.3% | 22.8% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 12.4% | 15.6% | 19.3% | 24.1% | 19.1% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Noah Hubbard | 6.2% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 26.1% | 18.8% | 3.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 41.2% | 28.4% | 18.8% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bullock | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.7% | 20.6% | 25.8% | 17.3% | 2.5% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 43.3% | 13.2% |
| Ella Lane | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 10.7% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.