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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+4.44vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+4.93vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.33+2.84vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.64+3.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.65+5.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.02+3.35vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37+1.05vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.73-1.24vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.69-5.19vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.68-2.89vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.34-5.95vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.00-2.69vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.57vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.43-6.10vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.86-0.40vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.59-0.25vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering-0.65-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.84Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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11.66Tufts University0.650.0%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.05Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.76Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.11Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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10.31Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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15.6Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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16.75University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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15.0Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 10.0% | 17.3% | 29.9% | 24.2% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 21.1% | 56.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 21.5% | 28.7% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.