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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.33+4.96vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.49+3.41vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+5.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+2.65vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+3.00vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.69-1.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.65+4.55vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.37+1.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.02+1.32vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.00+0.63vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.43-2.00vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.73-3.81vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-0.51vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.68-6.24vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.34-9.31vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering-0.65-0.81vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.86-1.42vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.41Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.32Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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4.69Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.55Tufts University0.650.0%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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8.19Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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12.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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7.76Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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15.19Olin College of Engineering-0.650.0%1st Place
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15.58Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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16.57University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 14.6% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 21.0% | 27.2% | 17.6% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 18.8% | 28.9% | 24.3% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 9.7% | 22.5% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.