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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+4.42vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.34+3.83vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.05+3.83vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.69+0.61vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.73+2.73vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+1.97vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.64+1.10vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.61+0.11vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37+0.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.02+0.49vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.75-3.14vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.68-3.78vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.37+1.21vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.00-3.87vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.86+0.44vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.43-7.08vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-1.39vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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4.61Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
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7.73Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.1Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.22Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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14.21Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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10.13Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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15.44Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.92Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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15.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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16.46University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 17.0% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 17.5% | 22.3% | 17.2% | 9.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 13.0% | 21.7% | 25.4% | 20.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Kai Latham | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 26.0% | 23.9% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 26.2% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.