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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+5.83vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.64+6.31vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.73+4.95vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+1.15vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.00+5.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.75+1.70vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.61+1.16vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.34-2.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.02+1.35vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.43-0.91vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-2.94vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.37-2.61vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.37+1.23vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.59+2.47vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.68-7.14vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95-0.41vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.86-1.56vs Predicted
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18Yale University2.69-13.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.31Brown University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.95Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.15Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.25Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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9.39Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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14.23Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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16.47University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
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7.86Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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15.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.44Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.51Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Chase Reynolds | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 14.9% | 24.7% | 18.4% | 8.6% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 21.7% | 46.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 11.8% | 19.8% | 26.6% | 23.8% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 11.3% | 20.1% | 27.2% | 20.9% |
| Mateo Farina | 16.0% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.