← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64+0.92vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.59vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University-0.13-0.72vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Military Academy-1.13-0.61vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology-1.53-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.92Stevens Institute of Technology-3.6444.0%1st Place
-
3.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.609.8%1st Place
-
2.28Columbia University-0.1328.9%1st Place
-
3.39U. S. Military Academy-1.139.7%1st Place
-
3.82Stevens Institute of Technology-1.537.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Feves | 44.0% | 29.8% | 18.2% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.8% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 29.8% | 30.1% |
| Chase O'Malley | 28.9% | 33.1% | 23.1% | 11.1% | 3.8% |
| Gustavus Hankinson | 9.7% | 15.0% | 24.6% | 27.9% | 22.8% |
| Ty Mazzga | 7.6% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 25.1% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.