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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+5.86vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+6.20vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.37+6.28vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.49+1.22vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.68+2.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.64+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.34-1.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.75-0.36vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.69-4.48vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.43-0.98vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.73-3.12vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.61-3.49vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.02-2.81vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.00-3.85vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.95+0.59vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.86-0.59vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.37-2.61vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.59-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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9.28Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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5.22Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.89Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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8.12Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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4.52Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College1.430.1%1st Place
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7.88Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.15Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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15.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.950.0%1st Place
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15.41Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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14.39Olin College of Engineering-0.370.0%1st Place
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16.45University of New Hampshire-1.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 13.2% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 15.7% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kai Latham | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 28.6% | 21.9% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 11.9% | 23.3% | 24.5% | 20.3% |
| Thomas Jagielski | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 22.6% | 18.7% | 9.0% |
| Clayton Greig | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 12.8% | 22.9% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.