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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.90+4.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+3.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.19+4.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.24+0.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+3.29vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.09+2.12vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.70+2.49vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.64+1.65vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.24vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.38-2.81vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.89-2.02vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.35-0.89vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.57-3.12vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.59-0.41vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.07-6.94vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-6.10vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.39-1.38vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.96-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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5.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University1.190.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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8.12Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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9.65Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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10.24Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University0.890.1%1st Place
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11.11Tufts University0.350.0%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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13.59Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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8.06Yale University1.070.1%1st Place
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9.9Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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15.62University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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17.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Martz | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 19.6% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Celia Byrne | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Colby Green | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 22.3% | 20.4% | 4.1% |
| Emily Lau | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Martin Keene | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 13.2% | 49.4% | 13.9% |
| Margaret Buswick | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 9.5% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.