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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+5.20vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.09+6.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.90+2.55vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.70+5.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+3.60vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.52+4.66vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.59+7.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.38-0.73vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.19-1.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.13-1.54vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.64-0.81vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.89-2.48vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.24-8.63vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.07-5.87vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.57-4.65vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.62-5.72vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.39-0.82vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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8.57Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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5.55Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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9.74Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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10.66Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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14.25Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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7.93Roger Williams University1.190.1%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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10.19Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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8.13Yale University1.070.1%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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10.28Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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16.18University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Heitkoetter | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Shea Smith | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| James Jagielski | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Colby Green | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 24.2% | 16.8% |
| Luke Hosek | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Martz | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 4.2% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Declan Botwinick | 18.1% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lau | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Martin Keene | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 9.4% | 19.0% | 51.3% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 25.3% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.