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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.19+7.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.13+6.56vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College0.70+7.26vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.07+4.53vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.89+4.23vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.24-1.46vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.09+1.59vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.38-0.65vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73-2.87vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.02vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.90-5.27vs Predicted
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12Brown University0.64-1.40vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.59+1.21vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.02-5.46vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.57-4.51vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.39+0.20vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-9.15vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33Roger Williams University1.190.1%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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10.26Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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8.53Yale University1.070.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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4.54University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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8.59Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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7.35Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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6.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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11.02Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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5.73Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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10.6Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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14.21Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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10.49Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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16.2University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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7.85Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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14.82University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Martz | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Powers | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Emily Lau | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 16.9% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Taboada | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Luke Hosek | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Shea Smith | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Colby Green | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 23.3% | 17.3% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Martin Keene | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 19.8% | 51.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 16.0% | 26.1% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.