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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.70+9.19vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.09+6.75vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.90+2.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.38+3.31vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.19+3.08vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+0.18vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.59+7.32vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.52+2.66vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.64+1.26vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.07-1.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.89-1.61vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.31-3.96vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81+1.83vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.24-9.61vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.02-6.24vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.13-7.55vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.57-6.37vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.39-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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8.75Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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5.78Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University1.190.1%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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14.32Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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10.66Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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10.26Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.9Yale University1.070.1%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University0.890.1%1st Place
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8.04Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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14.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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8.76Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University1.130.0%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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16.07University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Powers | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Peter Taboada | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Shea Smith | 10.0% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Martz | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colby Green | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 24.3% | 17.9% |
| James Jagielski | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Keller Morrison | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Emily Lau | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 25.8% | 24.7% |
| Declan Botwinick | 18.8% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Martin Keene | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 10.2% | 19.9% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.