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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College0.70+9.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+4.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.64+7.52vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+4.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.24-0.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.19+2.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.90-1.38vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.07+0.54vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.59+5.39vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-2.06vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.38-3.42vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.81+3.12vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.39vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.09-5.71vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.89-5.67vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.13-7.50vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-1.39-0.81vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.57-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.24Connecticut College0.700.0%1st Place
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6.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.1%1st Place
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10.52Brown University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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4.56University of Rhode Island2.240.2%1st Place
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8.16Roger Williams University1.190.1%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
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8.54Yale University1.070.1%1st Place
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14.39Bates College-0.590.0%1st Place
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7.94Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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15.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.61Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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8.29Northeastern University1.090.1%1st Place
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9.33Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.5Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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16.19University of New Hampshire-1.390.0%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Powers | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Declan Botwinick | 19.0% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Martz | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 11.2% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lau | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Colby Green | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 24.9% | 15.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Hosek | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Laskarzewski | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 15.7% | 24.3% | 26.9% |
| James Jagielski | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Peter Taboada | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Martin Keene | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 20.2% | 50.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.