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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maine2.45+0.43vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.57+1.22vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.56+1.84vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.14+0.26vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09+0.57vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.85-0.79vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.28-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of Maine2.450.7%1st Place
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3.22Bowdoin College0.570.1%1st Place
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4.84Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.26Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.57Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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5.21Bates College-0.850.0%1st Place
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3.47Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Drago | 69.0% | 21.8% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Anderson | 10.0% | 25.8% | 26.2% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Greta Shuster | 3.6% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 24.1% | 18.4% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.1% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 21.7% | 16.8% | 8.1% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 40.2% |
| Kieran Small | 2.9% | 5.0% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 23.7% | 28.6% |
| Jack Valentino | 9.9% | 20.3% | 22.7% | 20.9% | 15.3% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.