← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College0.28+1.73vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College0.57+0.31vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.56+0.83vs Predicted
-
4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09+0.51vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College-0.14-1.63vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-0.85-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.73Bates College0.280.2%1st Place
-
2.31Bowdoin College0.570.4%1st Place
-
3.83Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
-
4.51Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.1%1st Place
-
3.37Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
-
4.24Bates College-0.850.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 23.9% | 26.1% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Preston Anderson | 37.5% | 23.8% | 19.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Greta Shuster | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 23.5% | 16.5% |
| Victor Lomba | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 23.1% | 36.9% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 14.7% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 11.4% |
| Kieran Small | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 19.3% | 21.7% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.