Race 9B

old-guard-owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Joseph Morris 18.6% 20.0% 13.8% 11.9% 11.8% 8.0% 6.2% 4.3% 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tedd Himler 26.3% 21.3% 17.3% 13.0% 8.6% 5.5% 3.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Schwarm 4.1% 4.4% 4.9% 7.2% 5.6% 6.6% 7.8% 7.1% 9.7% 12.3% 14.1% 12.7% 3.1% 0.4%
Ian Liberty 6.1% 8.2% 8.8% 9.6% 9.6% 10.3% 10.1% 8.8% 9.3% 9.4% 5.0% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Conor Lodge 4.3% 5.7% 5.5% 6.5% 6.9% 9.5% 8.1% 9.1% 9.0% 11.2% 11.2% 10.2% 2.8% 0.0%
Elizabeth Whipple 7.2% 7.3% 9.2% 9.0% 12.0% 9.7% 10.1% 9.2% 7.9% 7.6% 6.4% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Ryan Pesch 10.4% 11.6% 12.0% 11.8% 10.0% 9.6% 10.5% 8.5% 6.1% 4.6% 2.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
T. Max Bulger 4.7% 5.1% 6.5% 6.8% 5.4% 8.6% 7.9% 10.4% 9.4% 9.6% 10.8% 11.3% 3.5% 0.0%
Lukas Edegran 6.0% 4.2% 5.7% 8.5% 7.5% 9.7% 10.2% 10.2% 10.2% 11.1% 8.2% 6.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Brendan Hannon 4.4% 5.0% 6.1% 6.1% 8.8% 7.7% 9.2% 9.0% 10.9% 9.8% 12.5% 9.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Michael Russom 3.6% 4.2% 5.1% 4.5% 8.3% 7.6% 8.1% 9.0% 11.2% 9.9% 11.9% 14.0% 2.5% 0.1%
Arthur Bailey IV 3.4% 2.5% 4.3% 4.7% 5.3% 6.6% 7.6% 9.7% 10.9% 10.1% 11.6% 17.4% 5.5% 0.4%
Anthony Pappenfus 0.9% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 1.6% 3.5% 7.6% 65.9% 14.5%
Patrick Bowers 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 1.0% 0.6% 12.7% 84.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.