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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.57+1.37vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.28+0.66vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.14+0.25vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.85+0.25vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-0.37vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.56-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Bowdoin College0.570.3%1st Place
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2.66Bates College0.280.3%1st Place
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3.25Middlebury College-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.25Bates College-0.850.1%1st Place
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4.63Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.1%1st Place
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3.85Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Anderson | 32.2% | 28.8% | 19.7% | 11.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 27.8% | 23.8% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 9.6% | 3.7% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 16.6% | 18.1% | 19.5% | 22.1% | 17.3% | 6.4% |
| Kieran Small | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 24.0% | 28.3% |
| Victor Lomba | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 22.0% | 41.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 10.8% | 11.0% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 22.6% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.