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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.28+2.10vs Predicted
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2Bates College-0.56+2.50vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.14+0.87vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.57-1.22vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.85+0.03vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.09-2.48vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Bates College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.5Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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3.87Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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2.78Bowdoin College0.570.3%1st Place
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5.03Bates College-0.850.0%1st Place
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3.52Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.090.2%1st Place
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5.2Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 23.9% | 19.0% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Greta Shuster | 7.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 17.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 12.5% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Preston Anderson | 27.8% | 22.4% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Kieran Small | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 27.5% |
| Gabriel Tamayo | 16.8% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.0% |
| Victor Lomba | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.