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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.28+1.72vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.57+0.29vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.85+1.25vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.56-0.15vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.14-1.65vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Bates College0.280.2%1st Place
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2.29Bowdoin College0.570.4%1st Place
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4.25Bates College-0.850.1%1st Place
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3.85Bates College-0.560.1%1st Place
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3.35Middlebury College-0.140.1%1st Place
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4.54Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 23.5% | 26.9% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Preston Anderson | 37.6% | 24.5% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Kieran Small | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 24.3% | 27.9% |
| Greta Shuster | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.5% | 20.4% | 22.7% | 17.5% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 15.0% | 18.1% | 22.4% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 10.9% |
| Victor Lomba | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.