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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+0.89vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.26+1.05vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.19-0.01vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.52-1.71vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20+0.35vs Predicted
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6Bates College-3.28-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Bates College0.970.4%1st Place
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3.05Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.99Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.29Bowdoin College0.520.3%1st Place
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5.35Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
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5.43Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 44.9% | 28.8% | 18.9% | 6.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 12.3% | 20.0% | 24.6% | 36.9% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 14.5% | 17.7% | 27.5% | 35.0% | 5.0% | 0.3% |
| Alex Kitay | 27.5% | 31.3% | 26.9% | 13.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 4.2% | 45.9% | 47.0% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 3.4% | 42.1% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.