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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College-0.19+2.01vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97-0.15vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.52-0.72vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-0.26-0.92vs Predicted
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5Bates College-3.28+0.40vs Predicted
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6Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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1.85Bates College0.970.5%1st Place
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2.28Bowdoin College0.520.3%1st Place
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3.08Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.4Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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5.38Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Frary | 13.9% | 18.4% | 26.2% | 36.4% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 45.9% | 30.7% | 15.9% | 7.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 27.9% | 31.3% | 27.2% | 12.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Penelope Weekes | 11.4% | 17.6% | 28.3% | 37.1% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 43.2% | 50.7% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 45.5% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.