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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+0.96vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.26+1.28vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.52-0.56vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.19-0.74vs Predicted
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5Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-0.40vs Predicted
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6Bates College-3.28+0.29vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Bates College0.970.4%1st Place
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3.28Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.44Bowdoin College0.520.3%1st Place
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3.26Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.29Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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6.17Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 44.2% | 28.1% | 17.3% | 8.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 12.4% | 16.4% | 24.7% | 27.1% | 16.0% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Alex Kitay | 25.4% | 31.0% | 24.6% | 13.2% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 13.2% | 17.0% | 22.5% | 28.5% | 15.9% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Honor | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 17.3% | 44.7% | 16.5% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 7.3% | 38.2% | 49.8% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 9.1% | 38.3% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.