← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Middlebury College-0.26+2.08vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College0.52+0.28vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.19-0.02vs Predicted
-
4Bates College0.97-2.13vs Predicted
-
5Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.20+0.36vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-3.28-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.08Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
-
2.28Bowdoin College0.520.3%1st Place
-
2.98Bates College-0.190.1%1st Place
-
1.87Bates College0.970.4%1st Place
-
5.36Wentworth Institute of Technology-3.200.0%1st Place
-
5.42Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penelope Weekes | 12.8% | 16.8% | 25.8% | 38.9% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Alex Kitay | 28.3% | 32.2% | 24.1% | 14.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 14.6% | 16.4% | 30.3% | 33.9% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Ted Lutton | 43.5% | 32.9% | 16.7% | 6.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Collins | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 46.9% | 46.8% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 42.1% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.