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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.25+2.49vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.57+2.95vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.52+1.89vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.97-0.12vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56+1.74vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College-0.43+0.66vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.65-4.20vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.28-2.68vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.19-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49Bowdoin College1.250.2%1st Place
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4.95Bowdoin College0.570.1%1st Place
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4.89Bowdoin College0.520.1%1st Place
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3.88Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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6.74Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.66Bowdoin College-0.430.0%1st Place
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2.8Bowdoin College1.650.3%1st Place
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5.32Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.29Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Reimer | 18.6% | 20.4% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Preston Anderson | 7.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.7% |
| Alex Kitay | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 3.8% |
| Ted Lutton | 15.4% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 32.1% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 26.3% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 28.6% | 23.6% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 9.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.