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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+1.49vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.97+1.59vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.28+1.76vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College-0.43+1.98vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56+1.19vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.25-2.88vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.52-2.62vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.19-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Bowdoin College1.650.3%1st Place
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3.59Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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4.76Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.98Bowdoin College-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.19Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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3.12Bowdoin College1.250.2%1st Place
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4.38Bowdoin College0.520.1%1st Place
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5.49Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 33.5% | 24.0% | 19.5% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Ted Lutton | 15.4% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Jack Valentino | 8.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 9.9% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 29.6% |
| Greta Shuster | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 22.5% | 34.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 20.3% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 5.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.