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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.97+2.55vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.65+0.53vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.25+0.12vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.52+0.40vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.11+0.52vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.56+0.17vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College-0.43-0.99vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.28-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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2.53Bowdoin College1.650.3%1st Place
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3.12Bowdoin College1.250.2%1st Place
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4.4Bowdoin College0.520.1%1st Place
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5.52Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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6.17Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.01Bowdoin College-0.430.0%1st Place
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4.7Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Lutton | 15.7% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 31.1% | 26.5% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 22.0% | 20.8% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Alex Kitay | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 18.1% | 22.7% | 16.6% |
| Greta Shuster | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 34.7% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 15.9% | 20.3% | 31.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.