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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.65+1.47vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.52+2.41vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.25+0.11vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.97-0.39vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.56+1.23vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.28-1.27vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11-1.48vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College-0.43-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Bowdoin College1.650.3%1st Place
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4.41Bowdoin College0.520.1%1st Place
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3.11Bowdoin College1.250.2%1st Place
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3.61Bates College0.970.2%1st Place
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6.23Bates College-0.560.0%1st Place
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4.73Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.52Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Stevens | 32.3% | 28.0% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alex Kitay | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 6.1% |
| Christine Reimer | 21.4% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Ted Lutton | 15.4% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Greta Shuster | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 35.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 9.5% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 8.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 20.9% | 20.1% |
| Esteban Tarazona | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 22.2% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.