Race 1A

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Grace Cannon 12.0% 12.5% 12.9% 11.7% 14.6% 13.3% 9.5% 9.4% 4.1%
Carter Brock 10.6% 13.7% 14.1% 14.6% 13.5% 12.5% 9.8% 7.3% 3.9%
Stephen Poirier 8.8% 10.6% 11.6% 12.9% 10.6% 13.7% 14.5% 12.4% 4.9%
Gavin Sanborn 9.8% 10.3% 11.9% 12.2% 13.6% 14.7% 11.1% 10.9% 5.5%
Andy Leshaw 5.2% 6.9% 8.6% 9.1% 9.4% 10.9% 14.5% 16.9% 18.5%
Connor Rosow 31.9% 24.1% 15.9% 12.6% 7.7% 4.7% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Ryan Potter 11.8% 11.9% 15.5% 13.7% 15.0% 11.6% 10.1% 8.0% 2.4%
Jack Valentino 6.5% 6.7% 5.9% 9.0% 10.1% 10.6% 17.0% 16.7% 17.5%
Lucie Rochat 3.4% 3.3% 3.6% 4.2% 5.5% 8.0% 11.1% 17.9% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.