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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+3.19vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+0.89vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.28+3.12vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.02-0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.08-1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.83-2.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.92vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.37-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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2.89Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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6.12Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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4.4University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
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7.18Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Brock | 14.5% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 2.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 26.9% | 23.9% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 21.9% | 16.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Grace Cannon | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 12.8% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 18.1% | 16.5% | 18.6% |
| Lucie Rochat | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 17.7% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.