← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.98+1.76vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont1.08+2.58vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire1.02+1.59vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University1.18+0.07vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.94vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont0.83-1.13vs Predicted
-
7Bates College0.28-0.91vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-3.11vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-0.37-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.76Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
-
4.58University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
-
4.59University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
-
4.07Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
5.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
-
4.87University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
-
6.09Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
-
4.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
-
7.22Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 30.0% | 23.9% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Potter | 9.4% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 3.4% |
| Carter Brock | 14.9% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 5.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 16.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 6.3% |
| Lucie Rochat | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.