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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.08+3.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+0.88vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.02+0.47vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.28+0.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.14vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.37+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.83-3.05vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
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2.88Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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4.23Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.47University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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5.89Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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4.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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7.25Middlebury College-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont0.830.1%1st Place
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6.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Potter | 12.7% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Connor Rosow | 27.6% | 24.9% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Carter Brock | 14.2% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Grace Cannon | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 18.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% |
| Lucie Rochat | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 42.7% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 9.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.