← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.98+1.42vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont1.08+1.73vs Predicted
-
3University of New Hampshire1.02+0.90vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+0.21vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.18-1.34vs Predicted
-
6Bates College0.28-0.95vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.42Tufts University1.980.4%1st Place
-
3.73University of Vermont1.080.1%1st Place
-
3.9University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
-
4.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
-
3.66Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
5.05Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
-
5.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 37.7% | 23.5% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 13.0% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 7.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 11.8% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 9.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 13.3% |
| Carter Brock | 12.6% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
| Jack Valentino | 6.5% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 31.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 21.4% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.