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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+2.58vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+2.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98-0.60vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+1.18vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.28+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.02-2.10vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.08-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Northeastern University1.180.2%1st Place
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4.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.1%1st Place
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2.4Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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5.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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5.13Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.9University of New Hampshire1.020.1%1st Place
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3.62University of Vermont1.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Brock | 16.8% | 16.3% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 12.6% |
| Connor Rosow | 34.1% | 26.1% | 19.4% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 32.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 31.4% |
| Grace Cannon | 11.7% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 9.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 16.9% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.