Race 1B

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Christian Cushman 14.6% 16.6% 13.7% 16.0% 12.6% 12.1% 7.8% 5.4% 1.2%
Julia Shannon-Grillo 10.1% 12.4% 15.4% 15.0% 15.0% 12.0% 10.4% 6.8% 2.9%
Will Priebe 34.6% 23.8% 17.6% 11.2% 7.0% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Tyler Egeli 11.8% 16.0% 12.9% 15.7% 13.8% 12.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.3%
John Divelbiss 4.6% 7.0% 7.5% 9.0% 10.4% 11.8% 16.6% 17.5% 15.6%
Joseph Gehl 2.4% 1.6% 3.7% 3.9% 4.8% 7.1% 10.5% 20.0% 46.0%
Jack Cady 6.6% 6.8% 8.7% 10.3% 12.8% 16.0% 16.5% 14.1% 8.2%
Ted Lutton 10.9% 11.5% 14.9% 11.5% 13.8% 13.2% 12.0% 9.0% 3.2%
Thomas Bouchard 4.4% 4.3% 5.6% 7.4% 9.8% 11.0% 15.3% 21.6% 20.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.