Race 2B

callagy-ross

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Julia Shannon-Grillo 12.1% 14.2% 12.9% 15.9% 14.2% 13.0% 9.7% 6.0% 2.0%
Tyler Egeli 9.1% 13.3% 14.6% 15.4% 13.8% 13.7% 11.4% 6.0% 2.7%
Will Priebe 34.8% 22.3% 17.4% 12.1% 7.4% 4.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Cady 6.8% 7.8% 10.8% 10.9% 13.3% 13.0% 15.2% 14.2% 8.0%
Christian Cushman 15.0% 18.0% 16.1% 13.6% 12.3% 10.3% 7.6% 5.3% 1.8%
John Divelbiss 4.3% 4.9% 7.7% 8.3% 10.6% 13.0% 16.2% 20.4% 14.6%
Thomas Bouchard 4.3% 4.5% 4.8% 6.4% 10.1% 11.6% 15.6% 23.7% 19.0%
Joseph Gehl 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 3.8% 4.8% 8.0% 10.2% 17.2% 48.3%
Ted Lutton 11.0% 12.4% 13.2% 13.6% 13.5% 13.3% 12.5% 6.9% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.