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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.13+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.27+1.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.03vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.12-1.66vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.97-0.80vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.05-0.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.23vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.62-0.92vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-1.07-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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4.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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2.34Northeastern University2.120.4%1st Place
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4.2Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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5.99University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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7.08Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 13.5% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Christian Cushman | 11.1% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Will Priebe | 37.2% | 25.6% | 17.3% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 10.9% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 18.6% | 9.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 7.9% |
| Joseph Gehl | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 28.8% | 28.0% |
| Daniel Burger | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 10.9% | 20.9% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.