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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.12+1.40vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.27+1.91vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97+1.31vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.13-0.13vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-1.07+1.71vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.05-2.03vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.62-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4Northeastern University2.120.4%1st Place
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3.91University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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4.31Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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3.87Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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3.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Vermont-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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5.97University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
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7.11Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Priebe | 35.8% | 25.2% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 11.4% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Ted Lutton | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 14.1% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 13.6% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Burger | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 23.1% | 48.5% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 7.6% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 10.5% |
| Joseph Gehl | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 26.9% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.