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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.86vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.12+0.37vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.13+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.27-0.31vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.97-0.80vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.46vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.62-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.05-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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2.37Northeastern University2.120.4%1st Place
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3.92Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Vermont1.270.1%1st Place
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4.2Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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5.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.1%1st Place
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6.74Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.69University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Egeli | 12.4% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Will Priebe | 37.2% | 24.1% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 13.2% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 14.9% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Ted Lutton | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 3.7% |
| John Divelbiss | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 22.1% | 18.7% |
| Joseph Gehl | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 20.5% | 51.4% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 24.2% | 18.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.