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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.27+2.61vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.12+0.37vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.97+1.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.03vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+0.59vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.13-2.14vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.62-0.25vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.05-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of Vermont1.270.2%1st Place
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2.37Northeastern University2.120.4%1st Place
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4.18Bates College0.970.1%1st Place
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3.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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3.86Tufts University1.130.1%1st Place
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6.75Middlebury College-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.68University of New Hampshire0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cushman | 15.6% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Will Priebe | 36.9% | 24.0% | 18.3% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ted Lutton | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 12.3% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 23.8% | 17.3% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 13.0% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Joseph Gehl | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 17.5% | 53.2% |
| Thomas Bouchard | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 24.5% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.