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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.28+1.36vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+1.55vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-0.02-0.32vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.40-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-0.89-1.05vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.13-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Syracuse University0.280.3%1st Place
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3.55Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.68Hamilton College-0.020.2%1st Place
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3.18Syracuse University-0.400.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Rochester-0.890.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Pittsburgh-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Trentham | 33.5% | 28.2% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Kayla Maguire | 12.6% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 23.2% | 9.6% |
| Michael Stewart | 25.0% | 24.5% | 22.2% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 1.9% |
| Alec Wyers | 17.1% | 17.0% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 4.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 9.3% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 27.7% | 16.2% |
| Jason "Strongbones" Case | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.